EU wheat production in marketing year 2026/27 may decline after record harvest
In Ukraine, UkrAgroConsult reported that wheat production in the European Union is forecast to decline in the 2026/27 season compared to the previous year’s record harvest. According to estimates by the US Department of Agriculture attaché in Madrid, the gross harvest could amount to about 136.8 million tons compared to 145.1 million tons in the MY 2025/26.
The main reasons for the decline are the reduction in sown areas and yields. In particular, the area under wheat is estimated at 23.65 million hectares compared to 23.96 million hectares a year earlier, and the average yield could decrease to 5.78 t/ha from 6.06 t/ha, according to the report.
At the same time, analysts do not exclude that the actual harvest may be higher than forecast in the event of favorable weather conditions in spring and early summer. In particular, in France, the condition of the crops is estimated to be better than last year, without significant losses due to weather factors.
EU wheat imports are expected to increase slightly to 6.5 million tons, while exports are expected to remain stable at around 32 million tons. The main buyers are North Africa, the Middle East and the UK, according to the report.
Category: Food & Agriculture
