Carbon Tracker finds SAF faces material limits on scale, cost and sustainability

November 4, 2025 |

In India, BioEnergy Times reported that a new report from Carbon Tracker, Fuel Disclosure, warns that SAF is unlikely to significantly reduce aviation emissions before 2030.

Even if all current, under-development, and announced projects operate at full capacity, SAF production would cover only about 5% of global jet fuel demand and less than half of the projected growth in total consumption, according to the report.

Carbon Tracker identifies seven structural hurdles limiting the scale-up of SAF namely costs and price premiums, regulatory uncertainty, lack of long-term offtake commitments, weak bankability, feedstock availability, feedstock availability and opportunity costs.

Saidrasul Ashrafkhanov, Carbon Tracker analyst and lead report author, said: “Beyond high costs, hesitant offtakers, and financing barriers, many alternative jet fuels also carry environmental downsides. While SAF could play a larger role in decarbonizing aviation in the future, the industry must demonstrate a pathway to fuels that are truly sustainable, abundant, and feasible.”

More on the story.

Category: SAF

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