Global biofuel output to jump nearly 70% by 2030 due to Gulf energy crisis, study finds

September 27, 2026 |

In the UK, Reuters reported that the global biofuels output is expected to surge nearly 70% by 2030 ​from 2025 levels as major producing countries push ahead with raising blending mandates in response to energy crisis triggered by the Iran war, according to a study co-authored by London-based think tank Chatham House and non-profit certification group the Forest Stewardship Council (FSC).

Countries including Brazil, China, India, Indonesia and the US, along with the European Union, have proposed or ​adopted higher biofuel blending mandates since the outbreak of the Iran war.

The authors estimate that if all proposed mandates ​are fully implemented, the land needed to produce biofuel feedstocks could more than double by 2030 compared with 2023 levels. That require ⁠an additional 36 million hectares, an area roughly the size of Germany.

“The speed at which biofuel mandates are being increased creates significant risks as demand for feedstocks may rise faster than environmental safeguards, certification systems, land-use planning and enforcement mechanisms can be implemented,” the authors said.

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Category: Fuels

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